Friday, February 29, 2008

A Disappointing Session, But Not All Bad

The market was lower today on comments from Bernanke as well as disappointing economic data. But growth stocks held up reasonably well, and GOOG and AAPL were actually able to buck the weakness and go up for once.4Q GDP was left unrevised at 0.6% this morning. Many were hoping for some positive revisions that showed growth a bit stronger than first forecast, but there were no revisions.Bernanke spoke for a second day in front of Congress, and said that he though there might be some banks that fail, bu[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

My Latin America investment pays 37%

The Invesco Perpetual Latin American fund - my only investment last year - returned 37% in 2007. Here's why I chose it

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Coinstar Inc . (cstr)

is the stock on WALLSTRIP today.<[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Gmail Gets Invisible Chat Option

We all love Google Talk for a bunch of reasons, but one thing which I always felt as missed out from Google Talk was the ability to appear offline to your contacts. Both Yahoo and Windows Live Messenger had this feature sine a long time, and they allowed me to stealthily chat with my close buddies, while staying focused on my work.Gmail’s built-in chat has now added a new status &8211; "invisible", which does exactly the same thing. You can appear offline to your contacts by choosing "invisible" fr[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Stirring It Up...

Some days you just need to stir things up. Why not, since September I’ve listened to shitidiots cry wolf about crashes and other crazy musings as to why the market is going down. Unfortunately for most of them who can barely scratch any credibility out of there nose it hasn’t happened. Oh but they do try... Then there’s those hopless optimists who feel the market is full of helium thereby rising to new heights for ever a[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

How To Turn Problems Into Opportunities In Today&#8217;s Real Estate Market

by Michael SextonRealEstateJournal.com, the Wall Street [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Venture Capital In The Rockies Wrapup

I’m at the Beaver Creek Resort in Avon, Colorado today for the VentureCapital in the Rockies event.20 startup and growth companies, including 14 from Colorado and 4 fromUtah are here to present business plans to 200-300 venture capitalistsfrom 8 states. Our company, FamilyLink.com, was selected as apresenter. We each get 15 minutes and then 5-10 minutes of Q&A.Here is a brief rundown of the presenters:- Albeo Technologies (Colorado) markets solid-state lighting systemsbased on white light-emitted diode (LED) technolo[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Nice Day For The Bulls

When I saw the high put/call ratios early this morning, I thought they might help the market rally during the day. That proved to be the case, as the big stock buyback from IBM helped ignite some buying interest.The market also shook off the negative economic data, including home prices. In fact, the homebuilders index was the biggest gainer on the day, +3.55%. Retail and semis were the next winners on the day, while financials lagged.MBIA had its AAA rating reaffirmed today, which also emboldened the bulls. This do[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Holding Up The Stock Market

Oil is over $100 per barrel and gold is approaching $1000 per ounce. Consumer confidence just hit a 15 year low and every statistic about the housing bust just keeps on getting worse. Unemployment has spiked upward and so has price inflation. How has the stock market managed to hold its own under these conditions? One factor was the surprise cut in the Fed Funds rate, another was the announcement in the media of a bailout of Ambac and MBIA, the bond insurers. Now we have the rating agencies reaffirming their AAA rating on Ambac’s and MBIA’s credit ratings which must be maintained. [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

S&P 500 Breaks Out To Eight Day Highs

S&P 500 Breaks Out To Eight Day HighsBy Harry Boxer, The Technical Trader (www.thetechtrader.com) The markets had a very strong close and put on a good show to start theweek. The day started out with a move down off of the late spike rallywe had on Friday, but they held initial support and then ralliedsharply to new session and 2-day highs. Then they started a 3-wavepullback that severely tested the session lows on the Nasdaq 100 butheld about 5 points above the lows on the S&P 500. When that heldth[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Silver At 28 Year Highs, Extends Huge Gains Over Night

METALS COMMENTS FROM BARCHART.COM:MAY COPPER: Longer term it is on major resistance at 379.50. The daily formed a key reversal top yesterday, sold off more today but then rallie[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Tuesday Makes Three For The Bulls

Tuesday left the bulls with three consecutive wins on increasing volume. After another round of bad economic data we saw the market holding support and moving up, then mid morning IBM announced a big buy back and they released their outlook for the year. A struggling tech sector got the shot in the arm it needed and gave the market a big boost. Big chip leadership is always a good thing for the market for broader participation. Gold rallied $7.70 to $948.20 an ounce and crude hitting on all cylinders closed up $1.67 to $100.90 a barrel. Bad data and high en[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

IBM Thinking?

IBM (IBM) excited the markets by announcing a $15 Billion share buy back. Trading near its 52 week high the timing seems right to drive the valuation higher. (Read executive stock option) As we all get excited about what is most likely a fundamentally good story lets ask a few questions.The $15 Billion is somewhat in excess of one years annual profits. Although the dividend has been increasing, it currently trades around 1.39% dividend yield. Income investors are probably not rushing to tie this one up. If you believe share prices go up because more people want to buy than sell[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Prediction Markets

Here’s my article for the latest issue of Townhall magazine:They say every politician has a price. So you want to buy John McCain? Hillary Clinton? You can do it, online. You can buy a futures contract betting that McCain, or Clinton -- or any other candidate -- is going to be the next president. Or you can bet on whether the GOP will recapture the House of Representatives. Or whether the US will bomb Iraq. Or capture Osama bin Laden. You can do it all in the brave new world of online prediction markets.That kind of gamble may not be for you. But the market p[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

"how Do You Contact Expired Listings?"

Question: "How Do You Contact Expired Listings?" Opt in here By opting into Steves list you can get his tips sent to you on how to "do" the real estate business. The above is a pretty good example of some...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Existing Home Sales

A: Market players call it stabilization. Lets just review and you can draw your own conclusions based on the data released today by the always trustworthy NAR.Here are the datapoints for Existing Home Sales (Yahoo Finance):* Existing Home Sales Hit 9-Year Low* Sales of Existing Units Fall 0.4% From December & Down 23.4% From Year Ago; slowest sales pace on records going back to 1999* Median Prices Drop 4.6% From Ye[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

More Signs Of The Negativity Bubble

More signs of the negativity bubble surface on a daily basis.There are front page articles on stagflation fears, the media talks about bank write-downs endlessly, the general public thinks the odds of recession are near 100% [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Ishares Basic Materials (iym) Breaking Out

NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them if they do not appear clearly.Stocks followed through on last Friday’s late-day rally, albeit with quite a bit of intraday chop and indecision. The broad market opened flat, rallied in the morning, retraced most of the move at mid-day, then grinded its way above the morning high later in the afternoon. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.5%, the S&P 500 1.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite 1.1%. Relative weakness in large-cap tech stocks held the Nasdaq’s gain in check, but small and mi[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Midday Check: Gentle Ben Testifies

The market shook off its early losses, even as Bernanke testifies before Congress. Doesn’t it seem like every time he goes on TV the market sells off?The big news today was that the housing authority OFHEO is going to remove its portfolio caps on Fannie and Freddie, which would greatly improve liquidity in the mortgage market. IBM made more positive comments about its business and outlook, which seems to be helping boost the tech sector. Many of these stocks have come down so much tha[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Search Engine Visibility

Search Engine Visibility Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

Infiltrating A Conversation

I thought this interesting enough to post it here for your amusement and more importantly to see how one can market ideas often thru stealth means.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Truth About Feedback

You’ve worked hard to get your home ready for showings, and big moment arrives and you get a call for an appointment or two or three.The buyers arrive at the appointed time and you head out so the buyers can view your home comfortably. Dreams of sugar plumb fairies dance about your head as you envision an over list price offer with no conditions on kitchen table when you return.As you return home [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

How Often Should You Be "All In?"

My anatomy teacher in medical school would always be disappointed if anyone in the class got 100% of the answers correct on his tests. This was frustrating for the students. But the point was that if several students got 100% of the questions correct he couldnt stratify out the students performance. For instance if 3 students were to receive 100% correct test results--you really cant tell which of the 3 knew more information because they all would be bunched together without more challenging questions to show who really knew the most information. To take that concept a step further, if [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

**** Scheduling Conflict ***

---------------------------I will not be making any morning posts tomorrow as I have to take my son in for ear tube surgery. It is a relatively minor surgery, but it is still no fun watching them put your little guy under. Hopefully I will be back at my trading desk by midday.---------------------------[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Cash Trades

Over the last few days several people have questioned, and a few even challenged me on the relatively large cash position I have been holding for most of this month. As I write this the S&P500 is down 3.8% for the year, the Small Cap Russell2000 index is off by 6.2%, the S&P500 is down nearly 6.2%, while the Nasdaq is down over 15%. At the worst levels the S&P500 had shed 15.5% for the year, the Nasdsaq 19.8% and the Russell2000 just over 16%. Since most Mutual Funds and Hedge Funds actually put in worse performance than the Indexes its likely that the majority of them are d[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

High End Homebuilders Try Low End

Mortgage expo could help untangle lending optionsfrom the East Valley Tribune, reports that with standards frequently changing in todays lending environment, navigating the mortgage world can be a formidable and confusing task for hopeful homeowners. Industry leaders in the Valley are hoping to educate and help borrowers stuck in bad loans and homebuyers starting the process. The Arizona Association of Mortgage Brokers is joining with the Arizona Association of Realtors, state Departme[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Monday, February 25, 2008

America?s Most Miserable Cities

Misery is defined as a state of great unhappiness and emotional distress. The economic indicator most often used to measure misery is the Misery Index. The index, created by economist Arthur Okun, adds the unemployment rate to the inflation rate. It has been in the narrow seven-to-nine range for most of the past decade, but peaked over 20 in 1980. There is also a "Misery Score", which is the sum of corporate, personal, employer and sales taxes in different countries. Forbes decided to expand on the Misery In[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

50 Topics I Wish I Had Blogged About

I keep a Google doc called Blog Ideas. I have added a few dozen ideas to it in the last few months, and haven’t gotten around to blogging about very many of them. Right now, I’m looking at the Google doc on my new iphone (Google applications work beautifully on the iphone). Here are some of the blog ideas that I would have blogged about if I had more time:Record page views the last two days on WorldVitalRecords.comMy new Amazon Kindle: I love it!The new Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Absurdity That Is Marin Re

Do you remember this POS in Forest Knolls (also blogged here)? It was first listed for $449,000 at least as far back as February, 2006 (when I first blogged it). It then dropped price to $399,000 in March, 2007. No surprise, it is still on the market. Here is some info from the current listing:Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

Another Angle On Job Growth

Jon Lansner, proprietor of the excellent Orange County Register real estate blog, pointed me at an alternate source of local job data after reading my recent article questioning the accuracy of the monthly BLS/EDD employment statistics. Like the monthly job report described in the latest article (the Current Employment Statistics or CES), this other data is also put together by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Friday, February 22, 2008

More Pressure On Financial Stocks

The market is under some selling pressure in early trading led by weakness in the financial sector.Merrill Lynch (MER) downgraded Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE) to Sell, citing weak credit trends. Also, a popular analyst said that another dividend cut is likely at Citi (C). This has the financials down over -1.0% so far.There were some favorable revisions to the recent PPI inflation figures, which is a good sign after the elevated CPI readings. The 10-year yi[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Gazza magic - money can't buy happiness part two

Despite being the first superstar English footballer for my generation, Paul Gascoigne has been proof that money doesn't necessarily bring happiness. Here's a bit of Gazza magic to brighten the day

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

Breaking: Some Towns Drowning In Homes

I did some research to see where things stand regarding single-family homes for sale throughout several Massachusetts cities and towns.My research was by no means exhaustive.Still, it gives a quick snapshot of the situation you may find yourself in, if you are thinking of selling your home ... or thinking of buying one.I chose ten cities / towns - several I thought were considered "upper-class" and "upper-middle class" and several I thought were considered "not" "upper-class" or "upper-middle class". I also included the Boston neighborhood of Dorchester, since it’s [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Inflation + Credit Crunch Means Higher Mortgage Rates

A: A hot CPI number wakes everybody up to the FACT that commodity inflation is hitting consumer prices! Even those that say inflation is under control won’t be able to continue that argument with a straight face. This inflation trend will continue as long as commodity prices remain at these elevate levels; and that will last as long as our fed attempts to re-inflate our economy out of this credit mess. Meanwhile, this credit storm is now a full blown category 5 hurricane on so many levels and is hitting land at numerous points; analogy --> credit crisis is spreading! Put both t[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Comparing Bond Etfs

The below chart compares the performance of four T-bond ETFs since last July, when money started to flow out of stocks and into bonds. The four ETFs represent different durations in the yield curve. Through the middle of January, the top performer was the 20 + Year Bond Fund (TLT). Next in line was the 7-10 Year Bond Fund (IEF). That was followed by 3-7 Year Bond Fund (IEI), which was followed by the 1-3 Year Fund (SHY). The chart shows that the longer duration bonds did better than the shorter-term ones. That situation, however, may be changing. Over the last month, longer duration bon[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Chicken Little Stays In The Chicken Coup

Wednesday was essentially the mirror image of what we had on Tuesday, markets gapped lower across the board on worries of inflation, highlighted by the oil closing above $100 and various other commodities breaking to new all time highs. By the end of the day though, the market had shrugged off the bad news and moved higher. The Dow closed up 90 points to 12,427.26, while the Nasdaq gained about 21 points, closing at 2327.10. Volume was higher on both exchanges, particularly so on the Nasdaq, where it surged 18% from the prior days level. Advancing issues led declining ones by 21 to 13 o[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Fomc Minutes Show Fed Concerned Over Economic Growth

The FOMC minutes from the last meeting just came out, and paint a picture of a Fed that is finally concerned with the growth prospects of the economy, even though all the Fed-heads ever talk about in their speeches is inflation.Here are the highlights:Fed raises core inflation forecast to 2.0%-2.2% from 1.7%-1.9%Fed says decisive rate cut seen as ’reducing economic worries’Fed raises total inflation forecast to 2.1%-2.4% vs 1.8%-2.1%Fed Minutes says 50-basis-point ra[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Random Observations On A Historical Chart

I&039;ve been updating the FAQ list and I thought it would be interesting to denote the start of the Econo-Almanac on a chart of home valuations (ie, CPI-adjusted prices) and sales. I used the beginning of 2000 as the start date because I like round numbers:Sitting back and looking at this graph, a couple interesting observations jump out at me. read more
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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Bird&#8217;s Eye View: Wednesday, February 20, 2008

All throughout 2007 I’ve been saying that the CPI numbers have grossly understated the inflation we are witnessing in the US.It seems after every FOMC meeting, we heard comments like "core inflation has improved modestly", or "core" inflation has "modestly improved". What a bunch of garbage!Courtesy of Barron’s/
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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Boone Pickens Bets Oil Prices Will Fall

The market is getting a nice boost in early trading, let by several positive developments in the tech sector.Cisco (CSCO) was upgraded to Buy at Citi, RIMM raised its net subscriber guidance significantly, and Microsoft (MSFT) said it will be making a "significant" announcement this morning that is not related to its Yahoo! offer.Of those items, RIMM is getting the biggest lift, as this news flies in the face of the well know consumer slowdown that was thought to hit the handset makers as well as the la[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Wednesday Shrugged Off Bad News

Wednesday finished the day green across the broader markets after a very weak start on the day. The volume on the NYSE and Nasdaq increased, which left an accumulation day for the NYSE and Nasdaq. Our volume is still under the 50dma, which is telling us we are not at the levels we saw back in January. Gold closed up $7.60 at $937.40 an ounce and crude rallied again today to close up 85 cents at $100.86, after touching $101.32 intraday (a new all time high). Our weak start on the day was off CPI showing worse inflation than expected. By late[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Alternative Bubble

The message today is simple: Buy energy (oil and alternative). Sell financials. I watched Cramer pound the table last week for First Solar and I thought the next bubble is really beginning.Suntech Power (NYSE: STP) missed earnings this morning and shares are paying the price. The solar player posted $0.34 EPS, $0.02 worse than the First Call consensus of $0.36 EPS. Its revenues rose 82.5% year over year to $397.5 million, but the consensus estimate there was $419.6 million. To top it off, Suntech issued lower guidance for Q1-2008: it sees revenues of $370 to $380 millio[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Inflation Concerns Weigh On Market Early

The market is weak out of the gate due to some slightly elevated readings on inflation today. Core CPI rose +0.3% m/m vs. expectations of +0.2%. This is worrisome, as the Fed does not like to lower rates when inflation is rising. But weaker economic growth usually leads to declining inflation.Telecoms are under pressure again today after AT&T and Verizon (VZ) announced an unlimited wireless plan for $99.99. I think this might spur a lot of people to simply use wireless at home and get rid of their landlines. The phone [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

68 Bucks To Pick Up My Gift? Wtf?

I’m not well this morning and the last thing I need is for the Danish postal system to start playing silly buggers&160; with me.Some of you may know that my good friend Scot "Mr. Business Golf" Duke recently (as in a few weeks ago) sent me a hat (cowboy style of course) from Texas and I’ve been dying to get my grubby mitts on it and wear it on a show or two.I also think I’ll happen to look great in it this summer going around Denmark in a kilt and cowboy hat
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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Foreclosure Chart Extravaganza: January 2008

Over at VoiceofSanDiego.org, I just put up a piece on the January 2008 sales-per-default data. Conclusion: if potential must-sell housing supply was overwhelming demand back in the protracted downturn of the 1990s, it is now 3.5 times as overwhelming.read more[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Why do you hate people in debt?

It's becoming an increasingly frequent occurrence on the site: we write a story about debt or bank charges and a slew of often quite nasty reader comments about indebted people follow

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

Stock Market Technical Analysis Video 2/20/08

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Does Anybody Remember This Chart?

This chart comes from a paper by Absolute Returns Partners via one of John Mauldin’s mid-2006 "Outside the Box" e-letters. It came out just after the May correction, almost two years ago, when pundits were talking about "the bursting of the commodities bubble".It goes a long way in explaining how rising commodity prices and fallin[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Reader Question: How Long Does It Take For My Credit Report To Be Updated?

Debbi recently wrote in with this question: My New Year&39;s resolution is to get my credit score to a 780 or higher. I have paid off most of my outstanding debts. May 24, 2008 is my last outstanding bill be to paid off. I would like to know when should I order my credit reports to assure that the outstanding debts are reported correctly on my credit reports, and how long before I see some improvement in my credit score?This is a great New Year&39;s resolution! Reducing your debt balances can often help increase your credit score. It&39;[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Reduce, Reuse, Recycle And Repurpose

I’ve adapted the slogan above, borrowed from the original green movement, to apply to the new rules of content and information on and offline.A lot of people are telling you that content is king, and to a certain degree it is, but your head is swimming and you’re thinking, "how do I create all this content and [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Reason For The Real Estate Recession

There I go letting my need for a headline hook to get people to come to the site. I really do not believe there is a recession. Is there a problem? Yes, perhaps larger than most think. And it goes...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Waiting For A Break Out Of The Box

NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them if they do not appear clearly.On Tuesday, the major indices were poised for a rally by gapping up above key resistance levels, but they promptly sold off and closed in the red. Yesterday’s action was the opposite. Stocks opened weak, below pivotal support levels, but reversed to finish the day higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 0.7%, the S&P 500 0.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite 0.9%. Mid-cap stocks showed relative strength for a change, enabling the S&P Midca[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Sunday, February 17, 2008

Bought At The Peak Of The Market? Simple Tips To Protect Your Investment

Thanks to Phil for sending in this question: ’I am sure that I am not the only one out there, who bought my house at the May 2007 ’peak’. I am not a property investor, just a home owner. I am familiar with what house prices have done since then, but the question I really have is this: What does it mean to me? I am a working professional, and I can predict that sometime in [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Ginny Creig Of Real Estate

While reading a well written analysis of the "real estate bubble", I could not help but think of the current housing recession metaphorically.House BloggerIn body buildings hey day many of the guys approach to fast muscle growth was lifting big and eating big. Thus they would not only pack on the muscle, but as they packed on the beef, they also packed on the the fat. So when they would enter competition, they would have to lose the fat and subsequently they would lose some, if not much of the muscle as they "ripped up" for the event.Others believed tha[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Carpenter?s Home Is Fans ?graceland?

To Karen and Richard Carpenter fans, their home in Downey, California is their Graceland, so says Carpenters aficionado Jon Konjoyan, a 57-year-old Toluca Lake music writer and promoter who is leading a campaign to save the Carpenters house from destruction.The five-bedroom tract house and a smaller next-door dwelling that was connected to it by an enclosed walkway was where Richard and Karen Carpenter fine-tuned their greates[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Writedowns, Earnings, Sentiment All Weigh On The Market

The market closed at its lows yesterday after bond insurer FGIC lost its AAA rating at Moody’s, and was downgraded a notch. This hit the financials, and weighed on the overall market as selling picked up.Yesterday’s big move down was also likely due to the fact that we are in an options expiration week, which typically sees at least one big down day. Yesterday’s action certainly fit that bill.Today, UBS said that it may write-down an additional $203 billion, due to the bond insurance credit crisis. That’s quite a figure, and is press[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

January Resale Housing Data Rodeo

Well, better late than never, I guess, for this month&039;s resale data roundup. We already saw that the size-adjusted median held up pretty well in comparison to the drubbings inflicted in recent months. It was down 1.1% for single family homes, which isn&039;t great but is a lot better than December&039;s 4.6% smackdown. And it was actually up for condos, by 1.3%. From last January, however, this price measure is down by about 14%. Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

January Resale Price Preview

Howdy all -- over at voiceofsandiego.org I&039;ve got a brief look at the last month&039;s resale price data. The January data rodeo will be up here later this week.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Who Are The Bloggers?

It seems over a quarter of us are writing web posts! Simultaneous Media Survey (SIMM 11) studied15,727 participants on the subject of the blogosphere. 26% of all adults say they regularly or occasionally blog. Of those, 53.7% are male 44.7%...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Forex Tax - A New Approach

Uncertainty in the tax code makes tax filings for forex traders much too confusing. IRS Notice 2007-71 (established Aug. 27, 2007) reverses IRS Notice 2003-81. IRS Notice 2007-71 narrowly (yet definitively) addresses the tax treatment for "over-the-counter currency options," stating th[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Big Bucks Selling Commercial Real Estate

Commercial Capital Commercial Mortgage Seminar/DVD Program I interview Michael Haltman. We discuss Commercial real estate sales and lending as a lucrative addition in this current marketplace. Commercial Capital Alliance/Exeter Commercial LLC 131 Jericho Turnpike, Suite 202 Jericho, New York 11753...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Home Sales Report Shows Big Price Drops Hit California

Yesterday, the National Association of Realtors released their quarterly report on existing home sales prices for metropolitan areas.The report basically showed more of the same from last quarter, but the big difference was the number of areas in California that showed double-digit declines for the first time in many years.There were also some surprising areas of strength, and others that showed resilience from declining prices. Here are some of the highlights:Largest Price Declines-18.5%: Sacramento, CA
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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Recession In Real Estate

What Happens When There is a Recession and Noone Comes? It looks like 73 out of 150 metropolitan statistical areas did not get invited to doomsday as they show increases in median existing single-family home prices from a year earlier,...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Coming To Terms?

I can’t believe my eyes. Does this mean we are not as "special" as we thought we were?From the Marin IJ:As our economy falters because of the housing bubble and the erosion of the dollars value, there is less faith in this c[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Where Did Tech Go?

Tuesdays volume increased over Mondays on equities and futures with a different outcome though. The Nasdaq ended the day red while the S&P 500 and Dow closed green. Today was interesting to say the least. The stocks that participated yesterdaytech, became todays whipping boy. Financials took a beating yesterday and today were the golden child. The morning started strong when Warren Buffet proposed a buyout of bond insurers. Is this really a big deal? Well it was psychologically, but so far none are taking him up on the offer and th[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Real Estate Agents Suing Google For Links To Stories About Them

Real estate agents Mark Forytarz and Paul Castran of Castran Gilbert in Victoria Australia have filed a defamation lawsuit against Google. The two agents said that they asked Google to remove allegedly defaming links to articles about them, but that Google did not take any action. The plaintiffs claim the articles suggest Mr Forytarz bullied an intellectually disabled man into selling his home in order to claim a commission of at least $200,000. It is claimed the article paints Mr Forytarz as unscrupulous and unethical and he suffered distress[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Oil Heads Higher For Second Day

Take a look at the oil ETF (USO) chart, and you’ll see a bullish picture of a security moving up through resistance on strong volume.The USO gapped higher on Friday, and volume was stronger than it has been in months (see graph abo[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Combining RSI With Gap Down Openings

The SPY which tracks the S&P 500 has been trading since the early part of 1993. My research shows that when the 2 Period Relative Strength Index (RSI) closes below 10 and the SPY gap down 2% or more at the open of the next trading day substantial upside reversals have occurred. Since 1993 there have been 7 occurrences when both of these paramters have been met as shown in the table below. The SPY have had an average gain of +9.4% within 5 trading days and +12.3% within 10 trading days when both of these cond[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Newswatch 2.11.08: Yahoo Says No

YHOO rejects MSFT bid[Bloomberg] ``Yahoo thinks they’re worth more because of the plans they’ve implemented that have yet to come to fruition,’ said Daniel Taylor, an analyst at research firm Yankee Group in Boston. ``The board is saying, `We think we can keep the company together and do far better with it than Microsoft ever will.’’Sony intros Xperia smartphones[InfoWeek] The first and most notable d[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

New Home Pricing Outpaced Resale In 2007

According to an article in the Financial Post yesterday housing affordability is expected to improve in 2008. The article points out that new home prices increased by 21.5% in Edmonton in 2007 but ignored the fact that resale home prices were only up 9%. We pointed out a few months ago that the gap in pricing between new and resale has gotten quite large here in Edmonton, how much larger can it get? Not much if they keep building so many new homes!Also interesting, Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

Real Estate And Divorce: My 3 Simple Rules.

No one plans on getting divorced when they get married. No one plans on a war of the roses style meltdown either. So what happens when the rubber hits the road and the end of the relationship is near? If it’s a bitter, acrimonious end and you have no children, call someone else. If you can play nice until your home is sold, then here are my simple rules that I’ve adopted after witnessing some "broken" home sales.1. I act for the kids (sort of)Keep me out of it... I don’t want to know who’s at fault. I don’t want to[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Where Will The Bottom Be?

The quest for where and when a bottom seems to be a big topic on The Network these days.It seems like most of the guests are trying to figure out how to answer the question without telling the interviewer that it isn’t such a great question four months from a top (but maybe I am just projecting my own beliefs on to these other people[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Nasdaq Gets #3 For The Bulls With A Lagging S&P

Monday brought a green day for the bulls, but the volume was a little lighter than Fridays on equities. The Futures market volume was heavier, but not by a lot. The Nasdaq led the day and rallied the S&P 500 off weak financials to hang onto gains by days end. Tech and energy stocks stayed strong throughout the day. Gold closed the day up $4.00 at $926.30 and Crude up $1.75 to close at $93.52 a barrel. Into Tuesday we remain light on the earnings and economic data front. Leaving the market to move in peace, assuming we have a stab[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Guest Commentary: Ramsey On San Diego Reo Auctions

My old pal Ramsey Su is back with an analysis of the recent REO auctions held here in San Diego by REDC. He&039;s drawn some very interesting conclusions based on the info he&039;s been able to piece together from the auctions. If you&039;d like to read more after you&039;re done with this one, the search function will meet all your Ramsey-related needs.REDC AUCTIONSby Ramsey SuREDC has conducted[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Sunday, February 10, 2008

Bloggers Vs. Msm Credibility Survey Deathmatch

USC is performing a study on the credibility of blogs vs. the mainstream media when it comes to the Southern California real estate market. If you have an opinion on the topic, please help out the folks performing the study by taking their very brief survey. Thanks!read more[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Shazbot!

So things are at best struggling and Cisco looks like it is going to wreak some havoc because of the guidance.After a couple of lousy days maybe the Cisco hit (if it even lasts until the open) can turn around in some sort of oversold-ish snapback. I don’t know but fear seems like it has inched up a tad this week.I saw Louise Yamada o[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

High-risk Reset Trends

A couple of readers responded to my prior article about the study on local mortgage resets to ask how the projected 2008 resets stacked up against those of 2007. The study&039;s primary author, Joseph Galascione, consulted the archives for me and pulled out some stats on the number of high-risk resets expected each month as compared to the same month in 2007: January and February of 2008 looked pretty much unchanged from a year prior, March increased by 2 percent, April by 5 [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Join Our Team

Ok, this is not our typical blog post...this one is geared towards the Real Estate Associates that read our blog. We are looking for some licensed associates to join our team. If you are licensed, and are looking to join a company that can guarantee you leads everyday, contact us ASAP. Imagine, no need to spend money on marketing or high desk fees, and no time wasted prospecting - it’s all taken care of for you. We are a small company, with big marketing and not enough people to handle all the business that’s coming in. We are even moving to a beau[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Bending Bubbles

We are busy over at The Positive site. As I have mentioned before, this is more than holding hands and singing love songs. This is taking the news back and making it yours. Perhaps our first webinar can help you...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Googie Versus Goliath

Set your Tivo’s to see my interview with Jenny Cunningham, a reporter with KCTS-TV (9) in Seattle at 7:30 this evening on Channel 9. She has been working on a segment called, "Googie versus Goliath," and it’s a look at the landmarking process in Seattle and the controversy surrounding the Ballard Manning’s/Denny’s battle. She invited me to add my two cents to the proceedings, as I’ve been documenting Googie arch[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

53

I love basketball. But my career pretty much ended in 9th grade when I was 5&8242;2&8243; tall and had glasses&8211;and though a pretty good shooter, I got cut from my junior high basketball team.Finally I got my growth spurt, and was about 5&8242;10&8243; as a senior where I tried out for my high school team. I made first and second cuts, but was the final person cut from the team and I’ve never fully recovered.Back then I was a pretty good shooter. About 25 years ago I once hit 40 consecutive free throws. That was my personal best. About 10 years ago while practicing baske[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Downside Follow-through

Downside Follow-ThroughBy Harry Boxer, The Technical Trader (www.thetechtrader.com) The indices had another follow-up down session and ended the day at thelows for the day going away, after a nasty afternoon slide wiped outall of the morning rally efforts. They did start out with a move up,backed off and retested, but then rallied up to key overheadresistance, slightly took them out, but had no follow-through, and thenbegan a rollover late in the morning, which accelerated after lunchhour. They did manage a[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Reading The Signals

Trading is all about reading the gauges and then knowing how to properly respond. The chart above is a 15 min Chart of the QQQQ that I was looking at while trading the markets today. The best trades that work the best are when the most traders are caught on the wrong side of the trade. If you use your trading losses as school masters that teach you what notto do and what to do next time. I love to[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Cisco Guidance, Retail Sales Disappoint Investors

The declines this morning were not as bad as some had feared after Cisco (CSCO) disappointed investors last night when it gave revenue guidance that was below consensus expectations. Actually, the market bounced for a while and had completely erased its early losses, but it has since dipped back into the red.Retail sales were also mixed, but for the most part they were not strong. That said, a handful of stocks have traded higher after reporting, which indicates that maybe these stocks are washed out and due for more of a rally. I’ll have more of a re[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Opec Starting To Worry About Oil Prices

The market is higher this morning as tech stocks are bouncing. Most of the big tech stocks have had big pullbacks, and a bounce is certainly in order. I bought some QQQQ yesterday in anticipation of some sort of relief rally unfolding.Amazon.com (AMZN) is up nicely after the company announced a $1 billion stock buyback. It also said that it may redeem $1 billion of its outstanding debt as well. They certainly have the cash to do it.Oil prices are higher also, above $89, after OPEC said that it may cut output next mo[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Does Brand Loyalty Come From Family Word Of Mouth?

During nearly 20 years of marriage I think on two or three occasions my wife and I have discussed the laundry detergent that she uses. As a pragmatist, I have often come across less expensive generic detergents, which she refuses to use. I can’t even get her to try anything else, even once! She is a die-hard Tide detergent user and she would never ever consider changing brands. Upon closer investigation I discovered that she inherited that brand loyalty from her mother. I don’t exactly know how, but there is no denying that her mother’s recommendation is stronger than any suggestion that I [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

January's Foreclosure Explosion

In the prior foreclosure writeup, I opined that the high rate of December foreclosures was deceiving because it likely represented a period of catch-up from November&039;s abnormally low levels. I guess I was wrong, because January foreclosure activity came in even higher. During the month, 3,299 default notices and 1,461 trustee sale notices were delivered to delinquent borrowers.Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

Brief Technical Note

I installed a new caching mechanism yesterday to improve site performance. As a result, some authenticated users keep being shown the "anonymous" pages as if they were not logged in. If this is happening to you, please log out by clicking this link and then log back in again. That should address the problem.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Thursday, February 7, 2008

Social Networks Big Payooff

VC’s and the Blogaratti have been romancing Social Networks of late. However, its promise of big payoffs was recently put into question by Google itself, blaming the networks in part for their recent revenue slump. [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Day "the Conversation" Died

My first thoughts on this one was echoed by the story Hell Hath no Fury Like a Blogger Sued. Anyone with more than one email address can logically deduce that the net is easily anonymous. And add in some 2.0 and it is easy to fight back. In fact, a whole new subset of SEO is emerging called Reputation Management As Sellsius asks instead of controlling the news by simply asking for a retraction or correction, this builder used old methodologies to squash it.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Random Rambles

What in the world is it that makes us think that a bunch of power hungry Washington Political types and money mad financiers could get together and create anything other than a mess? Well obviously we, the people of the good ole USA do. It’s worked out so well that our dollar today is worth about 5 cents in 1913 terms (1913 being when we got a central bank). Here is the ramblings of some nut job Randite in 1966 : In the absence of a gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation via inflation. The financial policy of the welfare state requires there be no [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

1 Home Sold Every 2.5 Days

Steve names his mentor and what secrets he learned from him some twenty odd years ago. His system will show you the path to super agent status.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Jack Frost Can&#8217;t Scare Away Edmonton Home Buyers

As a testament to the true Canadian spirit hardy Edmonton home buyers braved FREEZING temperatures last month pushing sales to the second best January on record. It was so cold that the keys in the keyboxes that REALTORS use to show homes were literally sticking to my fingers when I took them out. The keybox containers were so cold that minor surgery could have been performed on my hands after holding them for a few minutes and I wouldn’t have felt a thing. Usually when the weather goes below -20 buyers aren’t interested in trudging through snow and cold to see houses. All things con[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Should I Add Fidelity Magellan To My Portfolio?

I have been using your Fidelity Portfolio in my IRA. Now that they have reopened Fidelity Magellan to new investors, are you going to add it to your recommended portfolio?Absolutely not! First of all, my goal is to have investors own a particular balance of a specific group of asset classes and I want each asset class to be broadly diversified.Magellan is not committed to a particular asset class plus they make big bets on companies and sectors they believe will out perform the market. Sometimes that works and sometimes it doesn’t. Their out performance in 2006 and 2007[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Put On Your Data Mining Helmets

As regular Piggs know, I routinely chart out either the size-adjusted median home sale price (which is timely, but not too accurate) or the Case-Shiller home price index (which is more accurate, but not very timely). In this post I&039;d like to highlight a couple of folks who have been making an effort to better measure home prices without such a lag.First, our very own forum participant "esmith" has collected the data and written the code to roll his own version of the Case-Shiller methodology, except that he uses the most recent month&039;s sale prices and is ab[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Internet Marketing In Real Estate: 1st Book Giveaway.

First Garage Linking Giveaway. The First Book give away goes to the best Trackback, Link, or comment on any of the blog posts so far this month. The "best" is solely at our discression. The Book we are giving to...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

How Come Your Dfa Portfolio Didn&#8217;t Do As Well As The Market Last Year?

I have tracked your DFA and Vanguard portfolios for many years. In most years your recommended DFA portfolio made more than the Vanguard portfolio you recommend. Why did DFA under perform Vanguard, and the rest of the market, last year?During my workshops I try to make it very clear what I believe about the performance of Dimensional (DFA) funds compared to similar funds at Vanguard. I believe that the DFA all equity portfolio will average 1 to 2 percent a year more than a similar portfolio at Vanguard.But I have no expectation that the higher return will ha[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

A Guide To Buying Real Estate In Alberta, Part 5: Down Payment

Mortgages and down payments in Canada used to be very simple: there were about 6 different mortgages to choose from, and a clear "minimum" when it came to down payments. Today, there are hundreds of mortgages to choose from and a down payment may not even be required. If you put less than 20% down on the purchase of a home, mortgage insurance will be required. The good thing is the mortgage insurance is just tacked on to your mortgage, the bad thing is you might not even notice that it is there!As you learned in Read More...

[Source: The Money Blogs]

Hello? Egg cut was on the cards

So if 3m people were rejected by credit card companies last year, why is anyone surprised that 7% of Egg credit card customers were given the chop?

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

Last Week&#8217;s Gains Gone In Two Days

NOTE: Please click on the charts below to enlarge them if they do not appear clearly.Stocks heavily built on the prior day’s losses yesterday, causing the major indices to erase practically all of last week’s gains. A surprisingly negative ISM report sparked a sharp opening gap down, but the bulls made no attempt to take advantage of the initial weakness. Instead, the main stock market indexes trended steadily lower for a second straight day. The S&P 500 suffered a 3.2% decline, the Nasdaq Composite similarly fell 3.1%, and the Dow Jones In[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Can The Bulls Continue?

Friday closed the day green across the broader markets, leaving the week with gains. Fridays volume increased to leaving us our second consecutive accumulation day. Futures volume was a little lighter than Thursday, just equities left an accumulation day. It was a nice day despite the disappointing Jobs data and more talks of a recession. The day was boosted by talks on the bonds insurers seeing some light at the end of the tunnel, Microsofts buy out offer to Yahoo and a few other lights in the news. Crude fell $2.67 on the day to close at $89.08. Go[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Disney Propels The Dow Higher

The markets got a small bounce at the open, and have since built on those gains. The Dow has been up as much as +100 points after Disney (DIS) reported strong earnings. Tonight after the close, Cisco (CSCO) reports earnings, which should color the action in the Nasdaq tomorrow.The exchange stocks (CME, NMX, ICE) are lower after the Dept. of Justice is complaining that the combination of futures exchanges controlling their own clearing functions has thwarted competition. I don’t buy their argumen[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Confessions Of A Flip Flopper

On Tuesday surprisingly bad service sector data did the market in before it really even had a change to get going. American markets joined their global cousins in a route. The Dow Industrials lost 370 points, closing at 12,265.13, while the Nasdaq lost over three percentage points, down 73.28 points, closing at 2309.57. The more broadly based S*P500 also got hit hard, losing a little over 44 points and closing at 1336.64. Unlike yesterdays decline on light volume, volume was heavy across the board today. This would suggest that the Bear Market in Equities rema[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

My torrent of abuse from an eBay seller

The knives are out after eBay halted sellers from leaving negative feedback. But considering some eBay sellers' behaviour and the torrent of abuse one gave me, this can't come soon enough

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

Big Brother won't save our post offices

Save our post offices:There is a sinister side to that Big Brother People's Post Office advertising campaign that's more than just patronising - it is a downright lie.

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[Source: This is Money | Money blog]

I&#8217;m Melting

This story in BusinessWeek has one of the better graphics to describe what’s happening in the nation’s housing market.Peter Coy does a pretty good job of supplying the supporting details and, along with a few interview subjects, makes a bold prediction of further price declines. He gets th[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Ism Report Points To More Weakness In The Economy

The markets were set to open only slightly lower, but the ISM Services report that came out this morning was much weaker than expected. It showed the first contraction in business services in nearly 5 years. This hit the market, and the selloff picked up steam.The fed funds futures increased the probability of another 50 basis point cut at the next FOMC meeting to 100%. The odds of recession have certainly gone up on this report. I have been of the opinion that there is probably only a 50/50 chance of recession, given strength in other parts of[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

A Scam To Benefit The Wealthy

This from our own SF Chronicle.Why should tax payers pay for a mortgage interest rate break (resulting from the proposed increase of the loan limits for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) that will benefit only the wealthy minority of this country? Why s[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Exclusive Podcast With Stefan Swanepoel

The Top Real Estate News Makers of 2007 (read down to get free shipping on the new book) Stefan goes Back to the Future as he explains how last years news makers affects 2008 and beyond. This is just a...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Another Strong Rally To End A Very Good Week

The market rallied again into the close, capping one of its best weeks in several years. Of course, it is too bad that it had to come in the worst start to the year since 1990. But I think the big Fed moves should help investor psychology, as well as the renewed strength in financials.The MSFT bid for YHOO was the big news of the day, and YHOO stock surged +48%. But every group participated today, even the energy stocks (despite oil moving down again).The semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose +7.4% today. That is HUGE. I ca[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

December&#8217;s Passive Income Summary

Even though I’ve moved this site over to Living Off Dividends, I’ve decided I’ll post periodic Passive Income Summaries. But I strongly recommend that you head on over to Living Off Dividends and subscribe to the RSS Feed.My Passive income for December 2007 was $1,921.11.Here’s the breakdown: Online Income: $568.55 Adsense: $240.10 Linkwo[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Businessweek Says Back To Trend-line

After all their shameless boosterism, BusinessWeek comes out with this. You boys are way behind the curve on this one. But still... this is the most bearish I’ve seen BusinessWeek in a long time.So a return to tren[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

War On Affordable Housing Bill

Here it is, the War on Affordable Housing bill that is currently in Congress (pdf). [...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Blog Article

A nice little starter blog article at entrepreneur.com. We have a few blog articles and podcasts ourselves in the blogging section of this site. My favorite piece by the author is that you should look at the blog as a...[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Yet More Foreclosures In The Pipeline

I got a chance to chat with Joseph Galascione, the real estate broker who was mentioned in the San Diego Daily Transcript a couple weeks back as having authored what appeared to be an interesting study on local foreclosures.It turns out that the study in question is freely available at the website of Galascione&039;s brokerage, ERA Metro Realty, and that it is very informative after all.Galascione and his colleagues analyzed county deeds of trust[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Market Adds To Gains, Closes At Its Highs

The market shook off that early weakness and really built up a head of steam late in the day. Also, volume was very heavy today, marking a notable accumulation day to coincide with nice price gains.Every sector was higher, led by homebuilders (+6.1%), retail (+4.4%), banks (+3.6%), and brokers (+3.3%).Interestingly, the ISEE Sentiment Index was low all day, and finished at the depressed level of 88. This likely means that today’s rally was met with skepticism, and that traders were quick to hedge their positions/exposure as people continue to worry ab[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Market Opens Under Pressure After Yesterday&#8217;s Giveback

A couple of economic reports weighed on the market in early trading. The Chicago PMI was weaker than exepcted, and the jobless claims came in higher than exepcted at 375,000 for the week.This worried the market that the economy is still weakening, and led to a selloff in stocks and buying of bonds. The buying pressure in the latter pushed bond yields on the 10-year down to 3.61%. But the rate cuts and now positively sloping yield curve continues to help the financials, which are up so far despite the overall weakness.Masterca[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

Podcast Numbers

A Forrester Research Inc. report from January 2007 said that 10 percent of North American online consumers listen to podcasts monthly, up from 1 percent in late 2005.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]

The Real Estate Market

Inman TV produced this interview with Michael Shermer, founder and publisher of Skeptic Magazine. I like this guy because he brings a logic that makes one think. I may not agree with his takes on everything, but I appreciate his thinking.[...]

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[Source: The Money Blogs]